Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.211577 0.245575 0.283318 0.328333 0.380582 0.439341 0.510480
2025-05-18 0.154714 0.198984 0.253381 0.325188 0.417598 0.532689 0.687201
2025-05-25 0.121834 0.168101 0.229044 0.315297 0.434463 0.593676 0.823231
2025-06-01 0.105461 0.154104 0.221921 0.323536 0.472332 0.682918 1.004879
2025-06-08 0.091369 0.140294 0.211934 0.324703 0.498362 0.756712 1.172317
2025-06-15 0.081529 0.130854 0.206315 0.330463 0.530465 0.841619 1.365566
2025-06-22 0.070800 0.118294 0.193904 0.323394 0.540736 0.892919 1.511168
2025-06-29 0.062804 0.108911 0.185070 0.320442 0.556471 0.953660 1.678416
2025-07-06 0.056978 0.102310 0.179817 0.322476 0.580247 1.029679 1.880118
2025-07-13 0.054118 0.100439 0.182273 0.337969 0.629001 1.153823 2.181870
2025-07-20 0.050911 0.097487 0.182360 0.348985 0.670616 1.269452 2.481624
2025-07-27 0.047887 0.094466 0.181886 0.358723 0.710688 1.386289 2.797404
2025-08-03 0.044166 0.089747 0.177843 0.361442 0.738207 1.483755 3.090496
2025-08-10 0.040159 0.083984 0.171134 0.358097 0.753323 1.558865 3.348573
2025-08-17 0.035873 0.077107 0.161365 0.347192 0.751321 1.598619 3.536763
2025-08-24 0.033975 0.075012 0.161131 0.356273 0.792616 1.733142 3.946909
2025-08-31 0.031572 0.071524 0.157533 0.357560 0.816926 1.833786 4.293929
2025-09-07 0.029819 0.069262 0.156304 0.363909 0.853207 1.964708 4.726703
2025-09-14 0.027166 0.064625 0.149274 0.356116 0.855885 2.019685 4.986799
2025-09-21 0.025103 0.061126 0.144434 0.352863 0.868839 2.099841 5.317994
2025-09-28 0.023594 0.058777 0.142006 0.355105 0.895333 2.215152 5.751399
2025-10-05 0.023111 0.058887 0.145439 0.372182 0.960704 2.432753 6.474313
2025-10-12 0.022347 0.058203 0.146855 0.384325 1.014967 2.628880 7.166385